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IRI Pakistan Survey Report 2012 – PML-N Tops, PTI and PPP Behinds

IRI Pakistan Survey Report 2012 – PML-N Tops with 28%, PTI 24% and PPP 14%

Lahore (September 29, 2012) – Despite trenchant criticism from Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaaf (PTI), the Pakistan Muslim League – Nawaz (PML-N) is currently the most popular party in Pakistan, a survey has shown.

IRI Latest Survey Report (January 2013)

The survey carried out by the International Republican Institute (IRI) posed the question that if the elections for the National Assembly were to be held next week, who were the respondents most likely to vote for. The results revealed a 3.7 per cent increment in PML-N’s popularity and a shocking 22.6% decline in PTI’s vote bank.

Conducted between July and August 2012 from a pool of 6,001 respondents, the survey compared results from an earlier survey carried out in February 2012.

According to the IRI survey, 28 per cent of the respondents agreed to vote for PML-N, closely followed by PTI at 24 per cent. The Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) took the third spot with 14 per cent votes whereas Muttahida Quami Movement (MQM) polled 3 per cent.

Pakistan Survey Report 2012

Punjab Province Survey / Poll

When asked about electing representatives in the provincial assemblies and the National Assembly, 43 per cent respondents from Punjab agreed to vote for PML-N. In spite of facing severe criticism with respect to its governance from rival parties such as PPP and PTI, the political party maintained its top position.

Furthermore, according to the survey, PTI lost 18.2 per cent of its vote bank, with 27 per cent of the respondents agreeing to vote for the party in July-August compared to an earlier 33 per cent.

A 22.2 per cent slash in PPP’s popularity was witnessed in the province, and Pakistan Muslim League-Quaid (PML-Q) was chosen by two per cent of the respondents.

Sindh Province Survey / Poll

In Sindh, the PPP took the top spot, however, according to the survey, the party has lost its popularity in the province by 7.1 per cent.

The survey demonstrated an upsurge in MQM’s popularity, with a 22.s per cent increase in the party’s vote bank.

PTI took second place but witnessed a sharp decline of 13.3 per cent in its vote bank. No change was seen in PML-N and PML-Q’s popularity in Sindh.

Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa (K-P) Province Survey / Poll

A downward trend in political parties’ popularity was witnessed in K-P. Even though PTI remained the most preferred party with 30 per cent of the respondents agreeing to vote for it, it lost its vote bank by 38.8 per cent.

Similarly, according to the survey, the Awami National Party (ANP) lost 92.3 per cent of its vote bank with only one per cent of the respondents agreeing to vote for them in the current survey as compared to 13 per cent in Febuary 2012.

The PPP’s popularity also showed a sharp decline by 75 per cent as only two per cent of the respondents agreed to vote for the party.

There was no change in respondents’ preference for PML-N and nine per cent of the respondents agreed to vote for the party.

Balochistan Province Survey / Poll

There was a downward trend witnessed in Balochistan as well. PTI took the top slot with 26 per cent of the respondents agreeing to vote for it. However, the party lost 38.8 per cent of its vote bank with an earlier figure of 35 per cent of the respondents favouring the party.

The PML-N was preferred by only eight per cent of the respondents.

(Published in “Express Tribune” on September 29, 2012)

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5 comments

  1. These are technically flawed surveys with special design to promote the image/popularity of certain parties and to understate that of others. Frankly speaking (I m not a PPP worker) but I know the vote bank they have in Sindh, KPK, Balochistan and even in Punjab. PPP has won majority of by-polls even in Punjab. I wonder who undertake these surveys for these so called survey institutes? How do they take sampling? How do they ensure credibility and reliability? They are seriously misleading, and could even lead to chaos and bloodshed if actual results do not produce the picture they paint.. It is also the responsibility of the media to check the credibility of such surveys before making such reports on air.

  2. Imran Khan will take lead Please wait

  3. In sha allah pml n lead

  4. In Pakistan, election Surveys does not, infact can not show the real picture of different parties and its position on the ground. Its so strange that the popularity of the ANP in Balochistan has been shown as 13% while in Pakhtunkhwa it is just 11% !! Its totally rubbish and non-sense. The ANP has much more support in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa which will be proved on the day of election to everyone.

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