PML-N will do much better than PTI and PPP, says IRI survey
Islamabad (Daily TheNews / Tariq Butt / Tuesday, October 2, 2012) – PML-N, if voted to power in the next general elections, will do better in fighting corruption and terrorism, ending drone attacks and improving security, education, economy and healthcare than the Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf (PTI).
And in the process PML-N will leave the Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) far behind, a recent survey conducted by the US International Republic Institute (IRI) says.
Survey / Poll on New Province Issue
Another striking finding showed that 42% likely voters strongly opposed while 21% strongly supported creation of a new province in southern Punjab, 16% somewhat supported, 9% somewhat opposed and 12% did not know.
When Survey / Poll Conducted?
Conducted between July and August 2012 from a pool of 6,001 respondents, the survey, which was sketchily reported by the electronic and print media last week, compared its results with an earlier similar study carried out in February this year.
Survey / Poll on fighting corruption
Which party do you believe would do a better job in different areas was the one question put by the surveyors to the likely voters? Twenty-nine % said the PML-N would do better in fighting corruption, followed by the PTI 26%, PPP 13%, and PML-Q and Muttahidda Qaumi Movement (MQM) 3% each.
Survey / Poll on ending drone attacks
Twenty-eight % opined that the PML-N would do better in ending drone attacks while 26% supported the PTI, 11% the PPP, and 3% each the PML-Q and MQM. Similarly, 29% favoured the PML-N in fighting terrorism, 26% the PTI, 11% PPP, 4% the PML-Q and 3% the MQM.
Survey on improving economy
Thirty % voted for the PML-N in improving education, trailed by the PTI 27%, PPP 13%, PML-Q 4% and the MQM 3%. Similarly, 30% approved the PML-N in improving economy, followed by the PTI 26%, PPP 12% and PML-Q and MQM 3% each.
Survey on HealthCare
Twenty-nine % backed the PML-N in improving security, trailed by the PTI 26%, PPP 12 %, PML-Q 4% and MQM 3%. Likewise, the PML-N was voted by 30% in improving healthcare, PTI by 26%, PPP by 13%, PML-Q by 4% and MQM by 3%.
Similarly, twenty-nine % thought the PML-N would do better in helping women followed by the PTI 26%, PPP 15% and PML-Q and MQM 3% each. Twenty-nine % put the PML-N on number one in empowering women, trailed by the PTI 28%, PPP 13% and PML-Q and MQM 3% each.
Who will go for Voting
Another question was how likely are you to vote in the upcoming parliamentary elections? Seventy-nine % said they would definitely vote; 6% might vote; 12% will not vote and 3% did not know.
Survey / Poll Age Wise (18-25 Years)
Twenty-five % of the respondents between 18 and 25 years said they would vote for the PML-N, which came down by 3.8% compared to the last survey of Feb 2012. Thirty-one % backed the PTI, 16.2% down from last time, and 13% voted for the PPP, 7.1% down compared to the previous study.
Survey / Poll Age Wise (26-40 Years)
Twenty-eight % of those between 26 and 40 years voted for the PML-N, up by 3.7 %; 23% PTI, down by 23.3%, and 14% PPP, down by 22.2%. Similarly, 30%
Survey / Poll Age Wise (41-50 Years)
Of those between 41 and 50 years backed the PML-N, up by 7.1%; 20% the PTI, down by 25.9%, and 16% PPP, down by 11.1%. Thirty-one of 50 years age and above supported the PML-N, up by 19.2%; 19% PTI, down by 17.4%, and 16% PPP, less by 11.1%.
Survey / Poll illiterate voters
Among the illiterate voters, 26% approved the PML-N, without marking any change from the earlier survey, 20% PPP, down by 13%, and 18% PTI, down by 21.7%.
Survey / Poll Educated (primary education)
Thirty-three % of voters having primary education stood for the PML-N, up by 10%; 23% PTI, down by 25.8%, and 15% PPP without recording any change from the earlier survey.
Survey / Poll Educated (Midde Class Education)
Thirty-six % voters having middle class education favoured the PML-N, up by 9.1%; 23% PTI, down by 34.3%, and 8% PPP without registering any change from the last study.
Survey / Poll Educated (Matric Class Education)
Thirty % matriculation education voters stood by the PML-N without marking any change; 29% PTI, down by 19.4%, and 10% PPP, up by 25%. Twenty-one % intermediate voters endorsed the PML-N, down by 4.5%; 31% PTI, down by 20.5%, and 11% PPP, down by 21.4%.
Survey / Poll Educated (College Education)
Sixteen % college education voters backed the PML-N, up by 6.7%; 34% PTI, down by 22.7%, and 16% PPP, up by 45%.
Survey / Poll Educated (Graduate Education)
The PTI led among the graduate voters by bagging 34% support, down by 20.9%, followed by the PML-N 22%, up by 57.1% and the PPP by 10%, without recording any change.
Survey on Women in Politics
Sixty-eight % of the respondents said it is important that parties elect more women to senior leadership positions on executive boards and committees while 26% said it was not important. Similarly, 79% said it was important that parties elect more young people to senior leadership positions on executive boards and committees whereas 15 % said it was not important.
Most Undecided Voters in Khyber Pakhtukhwa (KP) – 43%
The survey said that the PML-N was the only party for which support has grown nationwide, in Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP). In KP, 43% voters are undecided.
In Sindh, MQM is the only party for which support has grown, PML-N and PML-Q sustained their support and the PPP and PTI lost support. In Balochistan, support for no party has grown while 32% voters are undecided.